LONDON, Oct 17 (Reuters) – Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey sent a new signal on Sunday that the British central bank is preparing to raise interest rates for the first time since the start of the coronavirus crisis. , as inflationary risks increase.
Bailey said he continues to believe that the recent jump in inflation is temporary, but that a rise in energy prices will accelerate it and make the rise last longer, increasing the risk that inflation expectations will be higher.
“Monetary policy cannot solve the problems on the supply side, but it will have to act and it must act if we see a risk, especially for inflation in the medium term and for inflation expectations in the medium term,” Bailey said during a table. roundtable organized by the Group of 30 advisory team.
“That is why at the Bank of England we have signaled, and this is another one of those signs, that we will have to act,” he said. “But of course that decision is made at our monetary policy meetings.”
The Bank of England (BoE) has forecast that Britain’s inflation rate will exceed 4%, more than double its target, as the world economy reopens after lockdowns imposed to slow the spread of the COVID-19, causing shortages of supplies and personnel, and that the price of energy shoots up.
Investors speculate that the BoE will become the first of the world’s largest central banks to raise its rates, later this year or early 2022.
Bailey said demand for workers in the UK has been stronger than expected and that the number of young and old workers leaving the job market has increased.
“I am concerned about the growth of the job offer,” he said.
But Bailey added that he does not believe there is a “general pattern of pressure in the labor market,” as wages rose sharply in some sectors but less so in others.
He also said that governments trying to prevent future supply chain crises can learn from the way financial regulators responded to the 2007-09 global financial crisis, including regular testing.
“I’m not saying that we have the magic answer for supply chains in general, but I think there are lessons that we have learned in terms of resilience that can be adapted and used and carried over to some other markets, in particular, for example, when I look at the power supply, “he said. (Reporting by William Schomberg; Edited in Spanish by Ricardo Figueroa)